President Trump’s Middle East trip, his first foreign tour since returning to the White House, is more than diplomatic theatre. It could mark a genuine geopolitical turning point that ends the war that has torn the region apart since Oct. 7, 2023. The chances are not great, and there could be a delayed reaction, but read on.
Success would require something other than the standard Trumpian bluster: a focused action to compels the Arab states to break totally with Hamas, and then force Israel to step aside. In short, Trump must strongarm both sides. There is no middle ground left. The default outcome, with Israel planning to intensify its Gaza war, would be a true cataclysm.
The landscape is not unpromising, because despite Trump’s penchant for bombast he has never been a warmonger.
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